LSU vs Florida NCAAF Pick – Week 7

The Florida Gators and LSU Tigers both come into this Saturdays match with statement victories.
LSU went to Texas and beat the Longhorns. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn at the Swamp last weekend. However, during this weeks matchup in Death Valley, both teams seem to take a place in the race more than into College Football Playoff.
Floridas defense leads the way in their opinion. They have given that the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and have not given up a point in the 4th quarter since their opener. As he went 11 with three INTs into creating bad decisions that were several a week Auburn QB Bo Nix flustered.
However, Joe Burrow is not Nix. Hes a veteran quarterback and has led LSU. Theyve averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the maximum in school soccer. That contains the 45 they dumped on Texas on the road.
As underdogs around BetNow , the Gators come in with Death Valley awaitings roar. Could the No. cover the spread and 5 scoring shield keep this near? Or will Burrow and also win the bet up and the No. 2 passing offense keep rolling? Heres the full breakdown.
There is hardly any uncertainty in Burrows skill . He has transformed to a Heisman candidate, acquiring an immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd in the FBS).
Hes also working with one of the getting teams in the country. The trio of all JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, also Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns along with 73 receptions, together with averages over 15 YPC for all three.
Jefferson has good length using his 63 frame and has mastered in some big games. Chase is an actual presence on the opposing side. Marshall Jr. will sit out until November with a foot injury, but Derrick Dillon is an experienced target that can fill the place. Its all a part of a passing game that has Burrow at a 78.4% completion percentage.
Theyll face undoubtedly the DB unit they have played with all season. Northwestern State is a FCS team, but here are the yards-per-attempt composed by the additional opponents of LSU: Texas 124th Georgia Southern 111th, Vanderbilt 128th, and Utah State 103rd.
Florida sits at 33rd, although its safe to say they have yet to perform with a QB of Burrows caliber. Theyve played with FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Still, C.J. Henderson was preseason All-American who is living up to his billing. Shawn Davis generates a bunch of havoc at the secondary (111 yards on three INTs). Marco Wilson is a bit on spot, but still has a high ceiling as a cover guy.
Burrow will confront a, which will be completely healthy for the first time because their 10 sacks versus Miami over the introductory week. Jabari Zuniga, thought to function as very best is coming back from injury. With him on one side and Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) on the other, LSUs 63rd-ranked sofa rate in their o-line is going to be tested.
Since Kyle Trask substituted Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) since Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
He has to get flustered by an opposing defensive lineup Even though his consciousness need to enhance in the pocket. Auburns according is arguably the very finest in the nation, and ranks 11th in defensive line yards to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st in LY and is now 85th in bag speed. They will rely upon blitzing LBs to assist throw Trask. Even the Florida QB is convinced in the pocket but is not mobile outside of it. He also sprained a knee and wore a leg brace when he reentered the match.
Together with the LBs involved in the pass-rush, All-American safety Grant Delpit should come up big in coverage. He likely will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240lbs, 4.6 40-yard dashboard ) is imperative to LSUs success on D.
LSU–such as Floridas secondary–is most frequently regarded as DBU for the gift they possess on their defenses outside. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this legacy with performances that should land him on the All-Freshman group, if not more, in 2019.
On the other side of him would probably be Kristian Fulton, who allowed the smallest quantity of downs out of all returning FBS corners. Although this group is in passing yards allowed per-game 69th, itll be given an opportunity against a driven Trask.
Balance will be crucial as for Florida, who has not got their running game this season going yet. Lamical Perine broke a tackle at the line on his approach last weekend. Even with this, the Florida o-line ranks 113th based on yards and also will be going up against the No. 1 d-line concerning power achievement (short-yardage situations).
While the LSU front might not be strong. But Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA around the ground, and thats like Perines long run and a 76-yard receiver sweep which shut out the Kentucky match.
When they dont buy Dameon or even Perine Pierce going it places a lot of stress on Trask in a hostile environment.
Florida has earned respect from the college football world. And while I do not expect them to come out with a win from LSU at Death Valley, I do see this sport staying than many.
LSUs offense made strides, also Burrow is just one of the QBs from the FBS. However, LSU is not going to put up 45 or something near this against a defense who is proven at all three levels. Their pass-rush has completely evolved with Greenard wreaking havoc.
The Gators defense will wear out over time, as the team has relied upon them far too much to alter the wave in matches. Marco Wilson is going to be the topic against Jefferson or the Chase to a late-game PIs.
However, I do not anticipate this before late in the fourth quarter. Maintaining the match in a lot of a slog until then makes Florida the wager on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)

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